SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE

“Some people don’t like change, but you need to embrace change if the alternative is disaster.”

• Investors’ “Flight to Safety” trades dominated market action last week. That trend will continue. The most obvious shift in investor sentiment was the screeching halt to the trend of higher rates in the U.S. Treasury market. 10y Treasury yields reversed their ascent. Rates fell from almost 5% to this morning’s current level of 4.60%. Gold rose 3.5%, and Oil (SPOT WTI) (+3.4%) surged.

“Some people don’t like change, but you need to embrace change if the alternative is disaster.” Read More »

“Our settled aspiration is avoiding the market crevasses. My experience suggests there is almost an inevitability…”

Bond yields are rising because Supply is rising… and Demand is falling. Bond investors demand more of a premium due to a much higher risk in owning U.S. Government debt. Indebtedness, the leverage on it, and deficit spending are overwhelming the capacity of bond portfolio managers to take on additional risk…

“Our settled aspiration is avoiding the market crevasses. My experience suggests there is almost an inevitability…” Read More »