Democratic National Convention

“Oh, what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive.”

Market sentiment has taken a significant hit. The astonishing IT failure, regarded by many as the worst ever, has severely dented investor bullishness. It is especially concerning and even more shocking to investors than the political drama we are witnessing. The vulnerability we’re all feeling about our extreme reliance on technology might actually be even worse than originally believed because it’s unclear whether our technology systems can do anything to sufficiently remedy the situation and prevent future occurrences.

“Oh, what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive.” Read More »

“The ancient art of deception is to present two lies and get the people arguing viciously about which is true.”

When the Fed finally started raising interest rates in March 2022, Mr. Powell reminded investors that the Fed’s primary objectives were full employment and stable prices. The Fed is now as close as it has been to achieving those objectives since the pandemic.
A balanced and patient Fed has been a stabilizing force in a chaotic world. Global GDP is rising, and headline inflation pressures in most countries appear to be abating. Perhaps the Fed’s duel mandate is on the verge of being realized.
Mr. Powell’s Fed last hiked rates in July 2023, yet the economy appears to be slowing more quickly now than it has since the Fed paused. Indeed, reporting to Congress last week, Mr. Powell sounded even more dovish than he did at the G7 confab 10 days ago. He seems convinced the Fed is succeeding in reducing inflation and is on track to reach its target objective of 2%. Maybe he’s right.

“The ancient art of deception is to present two lies and get the people arguing viciously about which is true.” Read More »